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37 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Measures of national income level

GDP and GNP

Measures of economic level of development

GDP per capita

Measures of income equality

Gini Index, Intergenerational income mobility (0-1, lower the more equal)

Balance of Payments

Financial (financial assets) = Current (goods) + Capital (non market)

Top trading partners in U.S.

Canada, China, Mexico, Japan, Germany

private saving = ?

Sp = I + CA + (G – T)

Private saving = investment + foreign wealth + governmentdebt (deficit)

private saving is important because?

cushions economic downturn


increases countries investment (S=I)

Evaluating Assets

Expected Rate of Return (simple RoR, Average RoR)


Risk (Standard Dev (difference between variables), Volatility(time series))


Sharp Ratio (expected return of portfolio)

Forward Rate? helps you understand? useful?

exchange rate quoted for future, what the bank thinks will happen in future, can take now (lock in future return)

Forward Exchange Swap

Aspot sale of a currency combined with a forward repurchase of the currency

Futures Contract

Apromise that a specific amount of foreign currency will delivered on a specificdate with a specific price (1 transaction)

Options (put and call)

The right to buy or sell a specified amount offoreign currency at a specified price at any time up to the expiration date

4 major actors in foreign exchange market

Commercial banks, corporations non-bank financial organizations, central banks

Foreign exchange equilibrium

same expected rate of return for all currencies

Interest parity

same rate of return for 2 currencies (essentially all currencies)

Rate of Return?

World Major Currencies

British Pound (£), Japanese Yen (¥), ChineseRenminbi(Yuan) (¥), Euro (€), and US Dollar ($)

Banks hold major currencies in reserve because?

trust level and demand is high, willing to exchange any currency for the majorcurrencies. The major world currencies exhibit greater economic stability andare essentially reliable.

Vehicle currency and majors?

The currency used to buy anotherforeign currency

Euro(39%), USD (37%) , Yen (19%)

Arbitrage =? helps?

purchase and sale to profit from difference inprice. It helps bring the market exchange rate to equilibrium (buying lowselling high)

Why almost no difference between NY and London exchange?

high frequency of trading due to computers inthe stock market. buying low and selling high – the act of arbitrage. As thedemand increases, the market will simultaneously increase as well whilearbitragers are selling.

Golden Rule?

higher the better

higher the better

Why portfolio diversification?

Hedge risk, uncertainty of future return

Correlation of asset returns

For example 2 differentkiwi producers, negative correlation of -1 so they have opposite outcomes. Badseason risk cancels out and they should swap 50% shares/ownership with eachother, together they always produce.

Types of international assets

Debt (Fixed income) bank deposits (cash), bonds


Equity (volatile income) stock, corporate bond, real estate, business acquisition

3 differences between commercial and investment banks

Commercial banks take deposits, IB does not Commercial banks underwrite bonds, IBunderwrite bonds and IPOs (initial public offering = buying shares pre-stockmarket) *risky

Commercial banks are not allowed to bet onequity market, IB can do that


*Glass-Steagall Act of1993 and its repeal in 1999

Bank Run


Why?


Fragile because?

large and sudden loss of deposits


cannot meet liabilities


run out of capital


maturity missmatch

Prevent Bank Run (6 safeguards on financial stability)

Deposit insurance (insures depositors)


Reserve requirement (holding liquid assets)


Capital requirements and asset restrictions (min cap requirement and regulates risky assets like stock)


Bank examination (audit and force sell assets)


Lender of last resort facilities (borrow from central bank)


Government-organized restructuring and bailouts (central bank buys failed bank)

3 types of offshore banking and regulations

1. Agency office – arranges loans and transferfunds but does not accept deposits

2. Subsidiary bank –controlled by foreign bank headquarter, but subject to same regulation as localbanks


3. Foreign branch – an officeof home bank in another country, subject to both local and home bankingregulations

Eurodollars

dollars deposited outside U.S.


also:


Eurocurrencies – offshorecurrency deposits


Eurobanks – banks that acceptdeposits denominated in Eurocurrencies

Shadow Banking



Alternative to borrowing, non-bankfinancial institutions providing payment and credit services

Major shadow bankers

hedge fund, insurance companies, mutual andpension funds.

Moral hazard =?

less care to prevent an accident if you areinsured

moral hazard prevention?

Prevention focus (end of year deduction) loss vs no loss



Promotion (base salary end ofyear bonus) gain vs no gain

Regulatory Arbitrage

shifting risky business fromhome regulators to places where few questions are asked

Ex: IPO's, set up subsidiary bank

Credit Ratings

Investment grade > BBB-> high risk, non investment grade

Rent seeking =?

increase one’s share of existingwealth without creating new wealth (ex: licensing, your not generatinganything, or land lord)