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27 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
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Theory |
A set of propositions that explain a particular phenomena and allow us to make predictions. |
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What is the utility of theory? When are they useful? |
1. Guide for action in new situations
only useful when correct (we should test them)
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1. Hypothesis
2. Null Hypothesis |
1. Change from X (IV) to Y (DV)
2. there is no change
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Scientific Method (4 steps) |
-State Hypothesis (IV and DV) -Eliminate error variables -Observe/measure -Statistical Analysis -Try to replicate results |
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What are some problems with theory testing in social science? |
1. human subjectivity 2. different interpretation (personal subjectives) 3. limited set of cases 4. novelty and innovation (humans) |
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Correlation |
mutual relationship |
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WWI |
- assassination of Frantz Ferdinand - Germany signs blank check to austria |
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WWII |
- Japan, U.S (Pearl Harbor) - Germany, Poland |
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Cuban Missile Crisis |
revolutionized the way people thought about nuclear war (detente) |
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Classic Realism |
*security and power matters most* - humans are self interested and fallible - the *state* is the most important actor - history is cyclical - prefer relative to absolute gains |
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Neo-Realism |
(Waltz) war as a product of the international system instead of war as a function of human nature - *Security* under anarchy |
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Relative Gains |
Whoever gains more is more powerful |
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Anarchy |
absence of international authority, independent enforcement |
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Self-Help Options |
Internal vs. external |
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Absolute Gains |
weighing out all the effects of a decision (including economic cultural -ant. relative gains) |
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Democratic Peace Theory |
democratic states are less likely to wage war against one another |
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Commercial Liberalism |
States that are highly economically interdependent tend to avoid war |
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What were the consequences of WW1? |
1) 1st communist regime (Russia) 2) rise of democracy/democratic values, (ex: self-determination) 3) the League of Nations 4) resentful Germany 5) American isolationism |
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What is the Realist Paradigm? |
1. Power matters most. 2. Security is the most important value in an anarchic environment. 3. people are self-interested & fallible they are competitive. 4. state/nation are most important actors. 5. history is cyclical. |
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What were the consequences of WWII? |
1. bipolarity (U.S and Russia) 2. decolonization, more self government 3. nuclear weapons |
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What are methods of BOP |
1. armament 2. alliances 3. compensation (ex: territory) 4. economic growth (more weapons, R+D) 5. keep states divided and weak 6. war |
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What are goals of BOP? |
1. preservation/relative balance 2. reestablish balance 3. preserve the system |
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What are 3 types of states? |
1. status quo (preservation, no change) 2. revisionist (must change to grow ex: Nazis, S.U) 3. balancer (support weaker coalitions to gain more power) |
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Rules of BOP |
1. all alliances are temporary and possible 2. ideologies are less important than material (real politik)
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Classical BOP |
- sovereignty - even distribution of power - 5 major powers |
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security dillema |
1. gain power and be feared (+ armament) 2. have less power and be less secure |
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Cold War |
Great Britain, U.S, and Soviets |
